Brexit into chaos...is this a symptom or the full disease?
So they did it! 51.89% of the voters of the United
Kingdom voted yesterday to leave the European Union. “Brexit” as it was called,
triumphed by some 3+% over “remain.”
And then the clone of Donald Trump, on the other
side of the “pond,” Boris Johnson the unofficial leader of the Brexit side,
bombasted his way to the “favourite” contender spot to take over from Prime Minister
David Cameron, who has vowed to resign by October, at his party’s convention.
Is this the victory of the ordinary people, over the
establishment, or the victory of bombast and political lies, the stock in trade
of both Johnson and Trump.
Of course, there is a mood of political anger at
those people and organizations considering themselves “ensconced” in the perks
of power. Establishments quite literally hate turbulence, as does the business
and corporate sector. The linkage of the business/corporate power bloc with the
government, as still-attached Siamese twins, linked especially to the military
production sector of the corporate world. Nevertheless, turbulence is what the
United Kingdom and the European Union, possibly the rest of the global market
system as well. No longer are the predictable patterns predictable; no longer
as the normal ways of operating in the political arena normal. There is no
normal, except to say the no normal is now the norm. We are living in a period
of political chaos, and it did not start with this vote. Nor did it start with the
nomination of Trump as Republican candidate for president.
Bank Governors, starting with Mark Carney, former
Governor of the Bank of Canada, and now Governor of the Bank of England, will
do whatever is in their power to stave off another deep and troubling run on
the stock markets, so that the world does not have to go through another
episode like that of 2008-9. However, announcing that the Bank of England has
some $350 billion pounds in reserve to be accessed should the need arise,
Carney hopes to quell fears of another massive sell-off without a return to a level
acceptable to the global business community.
So there is a range of fiscal and monetary issues that will have to be
resolved following this vote. And there will be a range of
political/contractual issues that will have to be worked out, after the 27
other members of the EU have their say. And then there are all the travel, and
passport issues, the trade issues (after five years’ of negotiating to arrive
at the free trade agreement between Canada and the EU (of which Britain was
throughout a full member of the EU), and political housekeeping just to replace
Prime Minister Cameron, after he put all of his political “eggs” in this basket,
now that the bottom has fallen out of that basket.
One of the most tumultuous and troubling issues
underneath the vote to leave the EU was the question of immigration and the
European Union’s approach to it. With 65 millions people now classified as
refugees by the United Nations, the largest number at any one time in recorded
history. This mass of humanity, twice the population of Canada, roughly 5 times
the population of New York city, is not going to suddenly evaporate, nor is it
likely to “return home” anytime soon, given the depth of the conflicts in Syria,
Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, some of the major sources of refugees, all of them
attempting to survive by scurrying to Europe. Great Britain is also complaining
of too many immigrants, and those seeking to leave the EU want some national
control over immigration, rather than having to share the burden under the EU
banner. However, immigration, migration, refugees....these are important but
certainly not the only source of global chaos, uncertainty, fear and anxiety.
Political chaos abounds.
Political chaos includes “spontaneous” terror
attacks, the abduction of hundreds of young girls, the explosions of suicide
bombers’ vests, an increase by 900% in the illicit market of rhinoceros horns,
the slaughter of hundreds of elephants for their tusks, the wanton dumping of
millions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, the front pages of
hundreds of dailies (their number shrinking daily, as the mega-media
corporations swallow the smaller units) painted in 72-point type about the dangers
and the fears of ordinary people about our capacity and ability to trust what
formerly were trusted political organizations. The United States Congress votes
down four reasonable and responsible gun control measures, including no sales
to those on “no-fly” lists and background check enhancements, in spite of the
“sit-in” reminiscent of the civil rights movement of the sixties. Iran just
signed a multi-billion ($300B+) contract with Boeing for jets, for their civil
aviation operation, while North Korea just fired a missile that can now reach
the American base in Guam, although there are serious doubts they can mount a
nuclear warhead on it yet. North Americans are “stuffing” their angst with
sugar and salt, just another way of “voting” that does not enter into the
calculations of the pollsters, as “votes”. The health care budgets are
stretched to their breaking points, while the pharmaceutical companies
literally control the Food and Drug oversight agencies. In Canada, for example,
hundreds of millions of dollars are spent every year to treat seniors who have
been prescribed medications by various doctors, none of them knowing what the
others have prescribed, so the pills argue with each other making their
recipients “sick”....but the sickness is only a symptom of the systemic
collapse of the design of the drug administration system, whereby no central
medical doctor and/or pharmacist keeps a running monitoring of all the
prescriptions, potentially throwing up red flags of warning. Individuals, by
themselves, are running the show, when the show is so far about their “pay
grade” yet, because of privacy and the freedom of the individual, chaos reigns
in this sphere too.
We listen to the daily drum beat of how the markets,
the stocks and the price of a barrel of oil all rise and fall, more turbulently
than a riff by the Rolling Stones. In fact at least there is some musical
structure and discipline to that riff, a structure and discipline that is
completely absent from the global political turbulence. And we haven’t even
mentioned the chaos we drink, breath and eat every day. Fracking threatens the
drinking water of millions with the energy companies throwing billions in
advertising/information campaigns to prevent environmental attacks from taking
their legitimate toll. Coal companies are continuing to fund political
campaigns to keep their doors open, while they belch toxic gas into the atmosphere,
in many countries, without a regime of transformation that is sustainable and
enforceable. Food processing, including the mega-corporate control of all the
seeds necessary for the propagation of vegetable and fruits, the
mega-imprisonment of pigs, chicken and other animals with hormonal-infested
“feed” in order to maximize the profits of their corporate investors, the
health of the consumer taking no mention in the equation of production,
distribution, pricing and the impacts on the health care systems.
It is not only that political chaos seems to pervade
the global map; it is also that none of the major issues seems to be attracting
the kind of focused, determined, and muscular attention most of the issues
merit, and even demand. And that in and of itself is also quite unsettling, for
those still willing to read the papers and watch the news. Many, unfortunately,
have turned away, given the hopeless of the situation. Yesterday, in Great Britain,
however, some 70% of eligible voters turned out to vote, apathy not being a
major factor in that outcome. Today, the New York Times is warning, following
the shock of this vote to exit the EU, that Americans from all segments of the
society have been taking a Trump candidacy far too lightly, and that he could
actually win the White House in November. No thinking, sentient human being
would wish for such an outcome, and no sane American voter would pull the lever
in the voting booth for such a result. However, this is not a “sane” period of
history, and events have a way of overcoming predictable, normal, conventional
patterns. Will Trump ride this wave into the White House?
Brexit, of course, could lead to other
“independence” movements in Quebec, Scotland* ( the First Minister of Scotland has
already announced that a second attempt to separate Scotland from Great Britain
in order to remain inside the European Union will be held, given the
overwhelming support in that country for the “remain” side in yesterday’s vote),
Northern Ireland. Independence movements however, without public insistence on
reasonable and responsible controls of the people and the money in charge will
result in little more than another illusion of freedom, compassion and well
being of the people who are at the bottom of the “food chain”....the people who
vote, and who pay the taxes. This is not an argument that attempts to say the
world is ending because the Brits have voted to divorce from the EU. However,
it is to say that such a vote will bring into question the validity, stability,
efficacy, and effectiveness of many of the other political structures,
organizational structures, and those previously invulnerable power blocs that
we thought were created for the purpose of enhancing the lives of ordinary
people, when it can be legitimately argued that the interests of those with
power were more prominent in the design than we ever wanted to believe.
The world also faces health epidemics, Ebola, Zika,
and the threat of bacteria immune to the antibacterial drugs we have depended
upon for decades. In the face of all these turbulences, signs of chaos, and
uncertainty, the words of a young woman coach of young Canadian women athletes,
when asked about her uneasiness about flying to Rio and the Summer Olympics, “In
a world full of threats and dangers, we just have to be more courageous and
more bold!” Her words startled me, and gave me a shot of adrenalin and hope,
adrenalin that charged my thinking into revisiting the cloudiness that is so
readily visible, and hope that a new generation of mature adults facing the
world with enhanced confidence, and even a little “strut” of bravado may be the
best antidote to the threats and the dangers we all face.
Let’s not forget too, that in Mandarin, the word for
threat is the same as the word for opportunity. Are we up to the opportunities,
of these many profound threats?
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